R. Quinn Thomas


Associate Professor | Virginia Tech | Lead of Ecological Forecasting Initiative Research Coordination Network



Accepted or in Press

Graham, M.W., R.Q. Thomas, D.L. Lombardozzi, and M.E. O’Rourke. Accepted. Modest capacity of no-till farming to offset emissions over 21st century. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe6c6

Meyer, M. F., R. Ladwig, H.A. Dugan, A. Anderson, A.R. Bah, B. Boehrer, L. Borre, R.J. Chapina, C. Doyle, E.J. Favot, G. Flaim, P. Forsberg, P.C. Hanson, B.W. Ibelings, P. Isles, F-P Lin, D. Lofton, T.N. Moore, S. Peel, J.A. Peters, D. Peirson, L.N. de Senerpont Domis, J.A. Schloss, M. Shikhani, A.P. Smagula, J.D. Stockwell, P. Thomas, R.Q. Thomas, T. Tietjen, and K.C. Weathers. In press. Virtual Growing Pains: Initial Lessons Learned from Organizing Virtual Workshops, Summits, Conferences, and Networking Events during a Global Pandemic. Limnology and Oceanography Bulletin https://doi.org/10.1002/lob.10431

Peters, J. and R.Q. Thomas. In Press. Going Virtual: What We Learned from the Ecological Forecasting Initiative Research Coordination Network Virtual Workshop. Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America. https://doi.org/10.1002/bes2.1828

Carey C.C, W.M. Woelmer, M.E. Lofton, R.J. Figueiredo, B.J. Bookout, R.S. Corrigan, V. Daneshmand, A.G. Hounshell, D.W. Howard, A.S. Lewis, R.P. McClure, H.L. Wander, N.K. Ward, and R.Q. Thomas. In Press. Advancing lake and reservoir water quality management with near-term, iterative ecological forecasting. Inland Waters. https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1816421


Koplitz, S.N., C.G. Nolte, R.D. Sabo, C.M. Clark, K.J. Horn, R.Q. Thomas, and T.A. Newcomer-Johnson. 2021. The contribution of wildland fire emissions to nitrogen and sulfur deposition in the contiguous U.S.: Implications for tree growth and survival in the Northwest. Environmental Research Letters 16: 024028. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd26e

Thomas, V.A., R.H. Wynne, J. Kauffman, W. McCurdy, E.B. Brooks, R.Q. Thomas, and J. Rakestraw. 2021. Mapping thins to identify active forest management in southern pine plantations using Landsat time series stacks. Remote Sensing of Environment 252: 112127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2020.112127


Thomas R.Q, R.J. Figueiredo, V. Daneshmand, B.J. Bookout, L.K. Puckett, and C.C. Carey. 2020. A near‐term iterative forecasting system successfully predicts reservoir hydrodynamics and partitions uncertainty in real time. Water Resources Research 56: e2019WR026138. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026138

Daw, A., R.Q. Thomas, C.C. Carey, J.S. Read, A.P. Appling, and A. Karpatne. 2020. Physics-guided architecture rchitecture (PGA) of neural networks for quantifying uncertainty in lake temperature modeling. Proceedings of the 2020 SIAM International Conference on Data Mining: 532-540. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611976236.60

Weaver, E.A., K. Kolivras, V.A. Thomas, R.Q. Thomas, and K. Abbas. 2020. Environmental factors affecting ecological niche of Coccidioides (spp.) and spatial dynamics of valley fever in the United States. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology 32: 100317. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sste.2019.100317


Lawrence, D.M., et al. [52 authors including R.Q. Thomas]. 2019. The Community Land Model version 5: Description of new features, benchmarking, and impact of forcing uncertainty. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11: 4245-4287. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001583

Thomas, R.Q., M. Williams, M.A. Cavaleri, J.-F. Exbrayat, T.L. Smallman, and L.E. Street. 2019. Alternate trait-based leaf respiration schemes evaluated at ecosystem-scale through carbon optimization modeling and canopy property data. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11: 4629-4644. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001679

Wieder, W.R., D.M. Lawrence, R.A. Fisher, G.B. Bonan, S.J. Cheng, C.L. Goodale, C.D. Koven, D.L. Lombardozzi, K.W. Oleson, and R.Q. Thomas. 2019. Beyond static benchmarking: Evaluating model assumptions with experimental manipulations. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 33: 1289-1309. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB006141

Song, J.J., S. Wan, S. Piao, A.K. Knapp, A.T. Classen, S. Vicca, P. Ciais, M. Hovenden, S. Leuzinger, C. Beier, P. Kardo, J, Xia, Q. Liu, J. Ru, Z. Zhou, Y. Luo, D. Guo, J. A. Langley, J. Zscheischler, J.S. Dukes, J. Tang, J. Chen, K.S. Hofmocke, L.M. Kueppers, L. Rustad, L. Liu, M.D. Smith, P.H. Templer, R. Q. Thomas, R.J. Norby, R.P. Phillips, S. Niu, S. Fatichi, Y. Wang, D. Wang, L. Lei, J. Wang, X. Li, Q. Zhang, H. Han, P. Shao, X. Li, F. Su, B. Liu, F. Yang, G. Ma, G. Li, Y. Liu, Y. Liu, Z. Yang, K. Zhang, Y. Miao, M. Hu, C. Yan, A. Zhang, M. Zhong, Y. Hui, Y. Li, M. Zheng. 2019. A meta-analysis of 1,119 manipulative experiments on terrestrial carbon-cycling responses to global change. Nature Ecology and Evolution 3: 1309–1320. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-0958-3

Cheng, S.J., P. Hess, W.R. Wieder, R.Q. Thomas, K.J. Nadelhoffer, and C.L. Goodale. 2019. Decadal fates and impacts of nitrogen additions on temperate forest carbon storage: a data–model comparison. Biogeosciences 16: 2771-2793. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-2771-2019

Van Houtven, G., J.N. Phelan, C.M. Clark, R. Sabo, J. Buckley, R.Q. Thomas, K.J. Horn, and S.D. LeDuc. 2019. Nitrogen deposition and climate change effects on tree species composition and ecosystem services: A cohort analysis. Ecological Monographs 89: e01345. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecm.1345


Jinshi, J., M.K. Steele, S. Day, and R.Q. Thomas. 2018. Future global soil respiration rates will swell despite regional decreases in temperature sensitivity caused by rising temperatures. Earth’s Future 6: 1539 – 1554. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000937

Horn, K.J., R.Q. Thomas, C.M. Clark, L.H. Pardo, M.E. Fenn, G.B. Lawrence, S. Perakis, E.A.H. Smithwick, D. Baldwin, S. Braun, A. Nordin, C.H. Perry, J.N. Phelan, P.G. Schaberg, S.B. St.Clair, R. Warby, and S. Watmough. 2018. Growth and survival relationships of 94 tree species with nitrogen and sulfur deposition across the conterminous U.S. PLoS ONE 13(10): e0205296. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0205296

Chu, H., D.D. Baldocchi, C. Poindexter, M. Abraha, A. Desai, G. Bohrer, A. Arain, T. Griffis, P. Blanken, T. O’Halloran, R.Q. Thomas, Q. Zhang, S. Burns, D. Christian, S. Brown, A. Black, C. Gough, B. E. Law, X. Lee, Ji. Chen, D. Reed, K. Clark, J. Hatfield, J. Prueger, R. Bracho, and T.A. Martin. 2018. Temporal dynamics of aerodynamic canopy height derived from eddy covariance momentum data collected across North American Flux Networks. Geophysical Research Letters 45: 9275-9287. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079306

Thomas. R.Q., A.L. Jersild, E.B. Brooks, V.A. Thomas, and R.H. Wynne. 2018. A mid-century ecological forecast with partitioned uncertainty predicts increases in loblolly pine forest productivity. Ecological Applications 28: 1503-1519. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.1761

Jian, J., M.K. Steele, S.D. Day, R.Q. Thomas, and S.C. Hodges. 2018. Measurement strategies to account for soil respiration temporal heterogeneity across diverse regions. Soil Biology and Biochemistry 125: 167-177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2018.07.003

Jian, J., M.K. Steele, R.Q. Thomas, S. Day, and S. Hodges. 2018. Constraining global soil respiration by quantifying sources of uncertainty. Global Change Biology 24: 4143- 4159. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14301


Ahlswede, B.J., and R.Q. Thomas. 2017. Community Earth system model simulations reveal the relative importance of afforestation and forest management to surface temperature in eastern North America. Forests 8: 499. https://doi.org/10.3390/f8120499

Thomas, R.Q., E.B. Brooks, A.L. Jersild, E.J. Ward, R.H. Wynne, T.J. Albaugh, H.D. Aldridge, H.E. Burkhart, J.-C. Domec, T.R. Fox, C.A. Gonzalez-Benecke, T.M. Martin, A. Noormets, D.A. Sampson, and R.O. Teskey. 2017. Leveraging 35 years of Pinus taeda research in the southeastern US to constrain forest carbon cycle predictions: regional data assimilation using ecosystem experiments. Biogeosciences 14: 3525 – 3547. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-3525-2017


Niu, S., A.T. Classen, J. Dukes, P. Kardol, L. Liu, Y. Luo, L. Rustad, J. Tang, P.H. Templer, R.Q. Thomas, D. Tian, S. Vicca, Y.-P. Wang, J. Xia, and S. Zaehle. 2016. Global Patterns and Fundamental Mechanisms of the Terrestrial Nitrogen Cycle. Ecology Letters 19: 697-709. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12591

Hurtt, G.C., R.Q. Thomas, J. Fisk, R. Dubayah, and S. Sheldon. 2016. The impact of fine-scale disturbances on the predictability of vegetation dynamics and carbon flux. PLoS ONE 11: e0152883. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0152883


Burd, A.B., S. Frey, A. Cabre, T. Ito, N.M. Levine, C. Lønborg, M. Long, M. Mauritz, R.Q. Thomas, B. Stevens, T. Vanwallenghem, and N. Zeng. 2016. Terrestrial and marine perspectives on modeling organic matter degradation pathways and controls. Global Change Biology 22, 121–136. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12987

Bracco, A.B., M.C. Long, N.M. Levine, R.Q. Thomas, C. Deutsch, and G.A. McKinley. 2016. The NCAR advanced study program summer colloquium on carbon-climate connections in the Earth system: capacity building in cross-disciplinary research. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96: 1381–1384. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00246.1

Thomas, R.Q., E.N.J. Brookshire, S. Gerber. 2015. Nitrogen limitation on land: how can it occur in Earth system models? Global Change Biology 21: 1777–1793. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12813


Thomas, R.Q., and M. Williams. 2014. A model using marginal efficiency of investment to analyze carbon and nitrogen interactions in terrestrial ecosystems (ACONITE Version 1). Geoscientific Model Development 7: 2015-2037. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-2015-2014


Thomas, R.Q, G.A. McKinley, and M.C. Long. 2013. Examining Uncertainties in Representations of the Carbon Cycle in Earth System Models. EOS, Transactions American Geophysical Union 94: 460. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013EO480006

Thomas, R.Q., S. Zaehle, P.H. Templer, and C.L. Goodale. 2013. Global patterns of nitrogen limitation: Confronting two global biogeochemical models with observations. Global Change Biology 19: 2986–2998. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12281

Bell, R.C., A. Belmaker, C.S. Couch, K.M. Marchetto, J.L. Simonis, R.Q. Thomas, J.P. Sparks, J.M. Brown, K.S. Franscisco, and M.E. Manuel. 2013. Effectiveness of Erythrina gall wasp bio-control and implications for the recovery of threatened Wiliwili trees (Fabaceae: Erythrina sandwicensis). Journal of the Torrey Botanical Society 140:215–224. https://doi.org/10.3159/TORREY-D-12-00069.1

Thomas, R.Q., J.R. Kellner, D.B. Clark, and D.R. Peart. 2013. Low mortality in tall tropical trees. Ecology 94:920–929. https://doi.org/10.1890/12-0939.1

Thomas, R.Q., G.B. Bonan, and C.L. Goodale. 2013. Insights into mechanisms governing forest carbon response to nitrogen deposition: a model-data comparison using observed responses to nitrogen addition. Biogeosciences 10: 3869–3887. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-3869-2013

Rastetter, E.B., R.D. Yanai, R.Q. Thomas, M.A. Vadeboncoeur, T.J. Fahey, M.C. Fisk, B.L. Kwiatkowski, and S.P. Hamburg. 2013. Recovery from disturbance requires resynchronization of ecosystem nutrient cycles. Ecological Applications 23:621–642. https://doi.org/10.1890/12-0751.1


Carey, C.C., H.A. Ewing, K.L. Cottingham, K.C. Weathers, R.Q. Thomas, and J.F. Haney. 2012. Occurrence, toxicity, and potential ecological consequences of the cyanobacterium Gloeotrichia echinulata for low-nutrient lakes in the northeastern United States. Aquatic Ecology 46: 395–409. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10452-012-9409-9

Raciti, S.M., T.J. Fahey, R.Q. Thomas, P.B. Woodbury, C.T. Driscoll, F.J. Carranti, D.R. Foster, P.S. Gwyther, B.R. Hall, S.P. Hamburg, J.C. Jenkins, C. Neill, B.W. Peery, E.E. Quigley, R. Sherman, M.A. Vadeboncoeur, D.A. Weinstein, and G. Wilson. 2012. Local scale carbon budgets and mitigation opportunities for the northeastern United States. Bioscience 62: 23-38. https://doi.org/10.1525/bio.2012.62.1.7


Leuzinger, S., and R.Q Thomas. 2011. How do we improve Earth system models? Integrating Earth system models, ecosystem models, experiments and long-term data. New Phytologist 191: 15–18. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2011.03778.x


Thomas, R.Q., C.D. Canham, K.C. Weathers, and C.L. Goodale. 2010. Increased tree carbon storage in response to nitrogen deposition in the U.S. Nature Geosciences 3: 13-17. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo721

Hurtt, G.C., J. Fisk, R.Q. Thomas, R. Dubayah, P. Moorcroft, and H. Shugart. 2010. Linking models and data on vegetation structure: data requirements and a modeling framework for future space-borne missions. Journal of Geophysical Research 115: G00E10. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JG000937

Canham, C.D. and R.Q. Thomas. 2010. Local frequency but not relative abundance of temperate tree species varies along climate gradients in eastern North America. Ecology 91: 3433 – 3440. https://doi.org/10.1890/10-0312.1


Thomas, R.Q., G.C. Hurtt, R. Dubayah, and M. Schilz. 2008. Using lidar data and a height structured ecosystem model to improve estimates forest carbon stocks and fluxes over mountainous terrain. Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing 34: S351-S363. https://doi.org/10.5589/m08-036

Fisher, J., G.C. Hurtt, R.Q. Thomas, and J.Q. Chambers. 2008. Clustered disturbances lead to bias in large-scale estimates based on forest sample plots. Ecology Letters 11: 554-563. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01169.x

Data Sets

Seyednasrollah, B. et al. [115 authors included R.Q. Thomas]. 2019. PhenoCam Dataset v2.0: Vegetation Phenology from Digital Camera Imagery, 2000-2018. ORNL DAAC, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA. https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/1674